An Interactive 10-Day Training Course

The 10-Day Advanced Project Economics & Risk Management

Improve Decision-making and Increase Investment Effectiveness

NASBA PMI Registered Training Courses

Course Introduction

Major capital-intensive projects across industries require significant financial investment, disciplined analytical evaluation, and an effective approach to managing uncertainty and risk. However, many large-scale projects fail to achieve their planned budgets, schedules, or strategic objectives — often not because of insufficient resources, but due to inadequate decision-making processes and the improper application of analytical tools throughout the project lifecycle. From business case preparation and investment evaluation to cash flow forecasting, probabilistic risk analysis, and return-on-investment assessment, the quality of financial and risk analysis conducted early in the project directly influences final project success.

This 10-day Advanced Project Economics & Risk Management Training Course provides participants with a practical and progressive understanding of project economics, financial evaluation techniques, and advanced risk quantification methods. Starting with the foundations of decision analysis, time value of money, and project cash flow modelling, the training course advances into capital cost estimation, qualitative and quantitative risk analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, decision tree analysis, and Excel-based probabilistic forecasting.

Participants will gain an integrated set of practical tools and techniques that can be immediately applied to evaluate, manage, and optimise the performance and profitability of complex capital investments across a broad range of industries and project environments.

This training course will highlight:

  • The complete decision-making framework for capital investment projects, from business case preparation and option analysis to profitability assessment and stakeholder reporting
  • Financial evaluation techniques including NPV, IRR, BCR, and discounted cash flow analysis applied to operational and capital expenditure scenarios
  • Qualitative and quantitative risk analysis methods such as Bow-Tie analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, tornado diagrams, and Expected Monetary Value for advanced project risk evaluation
  • The principles of development economics, inflation-adjusted cash flow analysis, probability distributions, and uncertainty management within capital project environments
  • Advanced Excel-based modelling techniques using the @Risk add-on for sensitivity analysis, scenario evaluation, and probabilistic profitability forecasting
  • Decision tree analysis, ROI assessment, and structured risk response methodologies used to support and optimise capital investment decisions

Modules

This training course is split into the following modules:

Module I - Project Analysis: Tools & Techniques for Managing Risk & Uncertainty

Module II - Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis

Objectives

By the end of this Advanced Project Economics & Risk Management Training Course, participants will be able to:

  • Apply key engineering economics techniques including NPV, IRR, time value of money, and cash flow analysis to assess and compare capital investment opportunities across varying project durations
  • Develop realistic and structured cash flow forecasts that accurately reflect both capital and operational expenditures under uncertain conditions
  • Identify, evaluate, and prioritise project risks using qualitative and quantitative approaches including probability/impact analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, and decision tree methods
  • Create and interpret Excel-based financial models incorporating sensitivity analysis, tornado diagrams, and probabilistic profitability indicators through the use of the @Risk simulation tool
  • Design and assess risk response strategies that improve project return on investment while reducing exposure to financial and strategic risks
  • Communicate financial evaluations, investment appraisals, and risk analysis outcomes clearly and effectively to sponsors, stakeholders, and senior management

Training Methodology

This training course is delivered through a structured, competency-driven learning approach that progressively develops financial analysis and risk management expertise over ten days. Instructor-led presentations are combined with practical exercises, collaborative project activities, Excel modelling workshops, real-world case studies, and interactive group discussions.

Concepts and analytical methods are introduced in a logical progression from foundational principles to advanced applications, enabling participants with limited prior exposure to financial engineering or quantitative risk analysis to participate confidently from the beginning. Throughout the training course, participants work with realistic project scenarios, live data sets, and simulation tools to ensure practical workplace relevance and immediate applicability.

Organisational Impact

Organisations whose teams attend this training course will benefit from:

  • More effective capital investment decision-making supported by rigorous financial analysis, quantitative risk assessment, and evidence-based project evaluation
  • Improved capability to forecast, monitor, and manage future conditions that may impact project budgets, schedules, or strategic objectives
  • Reduced exposure to cost overruns, delays, and investment losses through the consistent application of modern project economics and risk management methodologies
  • Enhanced workforce capability in developing, interpreting, and stress-testing probabilistic cash flow models and sensitivity analyses for complex projects
  • Better alignment between organisational financial strategies, investment objectives, and risk tolerance levels

Stronger contribution to enterprise-level investment governance and multidisciplinary project evaluation processes

Personal Impact

Upon completion of this Advanced Project Economics & Risk Management Training Course, participants will have developed:

  • Practical expertise in applying financial engineering tools including NPV, IRR, BCR, and discounted cash flow analysis for project investment evaluation
  • Hands-on skills in Excel and @Risk modelling for developing probabilistic cash flow forecasts, sensitivity analyses, tornado diagrams, and Monte Carlo simulations
  • Greater confidence in identifying, quantifying, prioritising, and responding to project risks using both qualitative frameworks and advanced quantitative techniques
  • A structured and repeatable approach to decision tree analysis, expected monetary value calculations, and ROI evaluation for complex investment decisions
  • Enhanced professional credibility with project sponsors, investment boards, financial controllers, and senior leadership teams
  • Valuable professional networking opportunities with project economics and risk management specialists from a variety of industries and sectors

Who Should Attend?

This Advanced Project Economics & Risk Management Training Course is designed for professionals responsible for financial evaluation, investment analysis, or risk management within capital-intensive project environments. It is equally beneficial for individuals new to project financial analysis and experienced practitioners seeking to strengthen their quantitative modelling and risk analysis capabilities.

This training course is suitable for a wide range of professionals but will greatly benefit:

  • Project managers, programme directors, and project engineers responsible for capital project evaluation, financial planning, and risk management
  • Planning managers, cost engineers, and project control professionals overseeing budgets, forecasts, and expenditure management for major projects
  • Commercial managers, economists, and business advisors involved in investment analysis, profitability assessment, and strategic project justification
  • Asset managers, product managers, and analysts responsible for maximising returns on capital investment within operational and development projects
  • Government officials and public sector professionals managing infrastructure investments, capital appraisal, and fiscal risk oversight

Financial analysts, project consultants, and risk specialists providing quantitative analysis and advisory support across capital-intensive industries

Course Outline

Module I: Project Analysis: Tools & Techniques for Managing Risk & Uncertainty

Day 1

Fundamentals of Decision Analysis

  • What is Project Management Decision Analysis?
  • The Purpose of the Project Business Case
  • The Need for Systematic Risk Management for Decision Making
  • Risk and Uncertainty on Projects
  • Option Analysis
  • Identifying Key Decision-making Factors

Measures of Project Profitability

  • Fundamental Tools of Engineering Economics
  • Time Value of Money
  • Appraisal Methods - Discounted Cash Flow Projections
  • Time Equivalence
Day 2

Cash-Flow Modelling and Project Decision Analysis

  • Financial Modelling and Project Evaluation
  • Rate of Return Computations (IRR)
  • Determining the Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
  • The Risk of not understanding IRR

Analysing Project Specifics

  • Understanding the Project Context to assist in decision-making
  • Determine stakeholders and their level of influence
  • Capture Requirements
  • Determine Scope of Work
Day 3

The Cost of Capital

  • Capital & Operating Expenditures (CAPEX/OPEX)
  • Estimating the Cost of Capital for a Project
  • Benefit- Cost Ratio (BCR)
  • Dis-benefits

Risk Modelling in Practice

  • Identify Risks
  • Forecasting Risk Impacts & Probabilities
  • Opportunity Costs, Sunk Costs & Salvage Value of a Project
  • Determining the Risk Priorities
  • The Need for the Company Cash Flow
Day 4

Decision Analysis: Expected Value Concept

  • Basic Probability Concepts
    • Fundamental Probability Concepts
    • Mutually & Non- Mutually Exclusive, Independent Events
  • Qualitative Project Risk Analysis
    • Semi-Quantitative Bow-Tie Process
    • Detailed Risk Qualification and Prioritisation
    • Expected Monetary Value
    • Scenario Planning
  • Sensitivity Analysis Tools
    • Simulation Process
    • Tornado Diagram
    • Defining the Variables- PERT
Day 5

Decision Trees, EMV, Risk Responses and ROI

  • Decision Tree Analysis
    • Developing Decision Trees
    • Solving Decision Trees
  • Risk Responses
    • Developing Risk Responses
    • Evaluating Response Relevance
  • ROI Analysis
    • Understanding ROI
    • Identifying ROI
    • Evaluating and Presenting your Project Options

Module II: Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis

Day 6

Development Economics

  • A brief history of energy usage
  • Principles of development economics
  • Understanding of economic terms
  • Inflation and its impact on nominal & real cashflows
  • Project financing
Day 7

Uncertainty in Investments

  • Handling uncertainty in capital projects
  • Understanding probability concepts
  • The expected value concept: features and pitfalls
    • Expected Monetary Value (EMV)
    • Expected Profitability Index (EPI)
    • Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL)
Day 8

Risks and Uncertainties

  • Risk & uncertainty
  • Risk aversion and risk premium
  • Exploration project threats and opportunities
  • Economic decision criteria
  • Decision tree analysis
  • Probability distribution
  • Monte Carlo simulation
Day 9

Setting-up Spreadsheet Calculations Using Excel

  • Spreadsheet Calculations
    • Cashflow analysis
    • Sensitivity analysis calculations
    • Tornado diagrams
  • Introduction to Monte Carlo simulations using @Risk
Day 10

Practical Use of the @Risk add-on

  • Developing an integrated economic model
  • Developing and using an @Risk Model Analysis
  • Project sensitivity analysis utilizing data from @Risk Model
  • Training course final review and close

Certificate

On successful completion of this training course, Oxford Management Centre Certificate with eligible Continuing Professional Education credits (CPE) from National Registry of CPE Sponsor and Professional Development Units (PDUs) / Contact Hours from Project Management Institute (PMI®), will be awarded to the delegates

Accreditation

NASBA
PMI Registered Training Courses

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The 10-Day Advanced Project Economics & Risk Management
Duration
10 Days
Format
Classroom
Language
English
Certificate
Yes
Choose the date and location that suits you:
Classroom Sessions
Dubai
07 - 18 Sep 2026
Fee: $ 11,900
Book your place
London
09 - 20 Nov 2026
Fee: $ 11,900
Book your place
Dubai
06 - 17 Sep 2027
Fee: $ 11,900
Book your place
London
08 - 19 Nov 2027
Fee: $ 11,900
Book your place
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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Yes, we provide assistance in securing both hotel reservations & entry visa on all our international training venues, for delegates attending our training courses. For further information / assistance, please contact our Customer Service at:

Yes, Oxford Management Centre is accredited by the following professional bodies;

National Association of State Board of Accountancy (NASBA)
The Oxford Management Centre is registered with NASBA as a sponsor of Continuing Professional Education (CPE) on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. NASBA have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit.

Yes, discounts are available. For further information please call +971 50 985 0174 or email, info@oxford-management.com

Note: Discounts are not applicable with any other special offer that may be available.

All course bookings made through Oxford Management Centre are non-refundable. By registering for a course, you acknowledge and accept that fees are payable in full and are not subject to refund under any circumstances, including but not limited to participant dissatisfaction, changes in personal or professional circumstances, or partial attendance.

Oxford Management Centre reserves the right to make reasonable adjustments to course content, trainers, or schedules where necessary, without entitling delegates to a refund. Full details of each course – including objectives, target audience, and content – are clearly outlined prior to enrolment, and it is the responsibility of the delegate to ensure suitability before booking.

There are 2 easy ways to register:

  • Online: Select the training course you want to register for, Click the “Book Your Place” button on the course page, complete the form and click submit.
  • E-mail: Send your details to info@oxford-management.com

We request that all cancellations be made at least one week before the class start date. You may reschedule this class without any penalty. If not, a $250 fee will be charged for cancellations received less than one week before a class begins and for no-shows. Cancellation penalties and any fees incurred by Oxford Management Centre will be deducted from refunds.

For more information request, email info@oxford-management.com or call +971 50 985 0174.

The classroom training fees include course presentation, relevant materials, physical & digital documentation, lunch and refreshments served during entire training. Accommodation and transportation are not included in the training course fees.

While, online training fees cover the course presentation and digital documentation and relevant materials.

The Oxford Management Centre Certificate of Completion with corresponding CPE credits shall be awarded to delegates who has successfully completed the training course.

Payment must be received before the training course commences. You can make payment by bank draft, cash, credit card or wire transfer.

Note: If the payment is not received, Oxford Management Centre has the right to refuse admission.

Upon receipt of your registration form, we will send you the following by e-mail:

  • Registration Confirmation
  • Invoice/Receipt (where appropriate)

If you register online you will receive an e-mail within 24 hours confirming your registration.

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